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In the Midwest, Heavy Rains, Devastating Floods and ‘Then the Sirens Go’

On Thursday, Ms. Tergin canceled a state track meet at the public high school because the tornado had blown the roof off the press box at the stadium.

“With all that’s been going on with this tornado, I haven’t even checked on the flood,” Ms. Tergin said late on Thursday afternoon. “We just keep canceling things.”

The tornadoes came in a period of extreme weather, which has been linked to climate change.

One analysis of extreme weather data found that human-caused climate change was a “significant driver” of 21 out of 27 extreme weather events, including droughts, floods and heat waves. But limited historical information, especially when compared with temperature data that goes back more than a century, makes it hard for researchers to determine whether the number of tornadoes is increasing, or if it is just a matter of better reporting.

A 2016 study in the journal Science found that tornado outbreaks, or several tornadoes forming in the same weather system, were becoming more frequent. But despite the recent string this spring, including one in eastern Alabama in March that killed 23 people, this year’s tornado season has been within historical averages, according to Patrick Marsh, a warning coordination meteorologist with the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration’s Storm Prediction Center.

[An inside look at the Storm Prediction Center.]

In Jefferson City on Thursday afternoon, cars were turned upside down and tossed around at a cluster of car dealerships. The historic state penitentiary, about a mile from the Capitol, was damaged. And in one hilly neighborhood, streets were covered in shattered glass, splinters of wood, a powder-blue mattress, a fork.

For days before the tornado, Trevor Grant, a 54-year-old hospital aide, had worried about the threat from the Missouri River, just blocks from his pale yellow house. What might it do to the place?

Then came the tornado.

“I don’t know what could be next for us,” Mr. Grant said on Thursday, looking down his street, covered with gutters, roof shingles and chunks of insulation.

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